The short answer
It depends on how many picks you play: Flex breaks even lower on 4 and 6 picks, Power on 3 and 5. On a 6-pick lineup, the most common, Flex is the better entry for most people. It breaks even at 54.2% a pick against 54.7% for Power, and at 55% a pick it pays something on 44.2% of entries against 2.8% for Power. Power wins out when your picks hit often enough that a perfect card is common.
How each one pays
A Power Play pays only when every pick hits: 2 picks 3x, 3 picks 6x, 4 picks 10x, 5 picks 20x, 6 picks 37.5x.
A Flex Play pays less for a perfect card and still pays with a miss: on 6 picks 6 of 6 pays 25x, 5 of 6 pays 2x, 4 of 6 pays 0.4x. On 5 picks 5 of 5 pays 10x and 4 of 5 pays 2x; on 3 picks 3 of 3 pays 3x and 2 of 3 pays 1x.
Break-even, side by side
The rate each pick needs to hit for the lineup to pay back its cost over many entries:
| Picks | Power | Flex | $10 at 55% a pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 57.7% | Not offered | Power 9.08 |
| 3 | 55.0% | 57.7% | Power 9.98 · Flex 9.08 |
| 4 | 56.2% | 55.0% | Power 9.15 · Flex 9.98 |
| 5 | 54.9% | 56.2% | Power 10.07 · Flex 9.15 |
| 6 | 54.7% | 54.2% | Power 10.38 · Flex 10.75 |
Flex breaks even lower on 4 and 6 picks, Power on 3 and 5. The gaps are a point or two, so the bigger difference is the swings: Power is all or nothing, Flex spreads its return over more outcomes and pays something much more often. The 6-pick is the size most people play, and there Flex breaks even at 54.2% against 54.7%.
When Power is the right call
If you hit 60% of your picks, a 6-pick Power returns 17.50 per $10 on average against 16.64 for the Flex, because a perfect card happens often enough to cover the misses. The catch: most people overrate their hit rate, and at 55% the 6-pick Power returns 10.38 per $10 with long losing streaks between wins. Check yours before you lean on it.
When Flex is the right call
Six picks is a lot to get right. At 55% a pick, a 6-pick Power hits 2.8% of the time, about once every 36 entries. The Flex pays something 44.2% of the time and still beats break-even. If you like 6 picks but not all of them equally, Flex is the better entry.
Try it on your lineup
The payout calculator runs this math on any lineup, with your own hit rate, voided picks, and the multipliers your app shows for Goblins and Demons. On SZN Lab, every prop shows the player's hit rate at that exact line this season and over his last 20 games, so the number you put in is real.
Standard PrizePicks payouts as of October 2026. PrizePicks can change them and they differ in some states; the app shows the multiplier that counts.